Selected Articles in Refereed Journals

Economic Distress and Children’s Mental Health: Evidence from the Brazilian High Risk Cohort Study for Mental Conditions (with Luiz Fontes, Matías Mrejen and Beatriz Rache; and thankful to the Brazilian High Risk Cohort Study group).
The Economic Journal, v.134(660), pp. 1701–1718, May 2024 [link].

Down the River: Glyphosate Use in Agriculture and Birth Outcomes of Surrounding Populations (with Mateus Dias and Rodrigo R. Soares).
Review of Economic Studies, v.90(6), pp. 2943–2981, November 2023 [link].
Featured in BBC News Brasil.

Stop Suffering! Economic Downturns and Pentecostal Upsurge (with Francisco J. Costa and Angelo Marcantônio).
Journal of the European Economic Association, issue 21-1, February 2023 [link].
Featured (headline) in Folha de São Paulo.

The Effect of Socioeconomic Inequalities and Vulnerabilities on Health System Preparedness and Response to COVID-19 in Brazil: A Comprehensive Analysis (with Atun, Massuda, Rache, Spinola, Nunes, Lago and Castro).
The Lancet Global Health, v.9(6), pp.E782-E792, June 2021 [link].

Subsidizing Access to Prescription Drugs and Health Outcomes: The Case of Diabetes (with Pedro Américo).
Journal of Health Economics, v.72, July 2020 [link].

Does Credit Affect Deforestation? Evidence from a Rural Credit Policy in the Brazilian Amazon (with Juliano Assunção, Clarissa Gandour and Romero Rocha).
The Economic Journal, v.130 issue 626, pp. 290–330, February 2020 [link].
Featured in Valor Econômico, Op-ed in O Globo.

Brazilian Unified Health System: The First 30 Years and Prospects for the Future (with Castro, Massuda, Almeida, Menezes-Filho, Andrade, Noronha, Macinko, Hone, Tasca, Giovanella, Malik, Werneck, Fachini and Atun).
The Lancet, v.394(10195), pp. 345-356, July 2019 [link].

Do Lower Taxes Reduce Informality? Evidence from Brazil (with Gabriel Ulyssea and Laísa Rachter).
Journal of Development Economics, v.134, pp. 28-49, September 2018 [link].
Featured in Folha de São Paulo and Valor Econômico.

Human Capital Persistence and Development (with Claudio Ferraz and Rodrigo R. Soares).
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, v.9 n.4, pp. 105-36, October 2017 [link]. 
First version available as BREAD Working Paper #454 and IZA Discussion Paper #9101. Featured in O Globo.

Drug Battles and School Achievement: Evidence from Rio de Janeiro’s Favelas (with Joana Monteiro).
Review of Economics and Statistics, v.99 n.2, pp. 213-228, May 2017 [link].
Featured in O Globo and Bom Dia Brasil.

Deforestation Slowdown in the Brazilian Amazon: Prices or Policies? (with Juliano Assunção and Clarissa Gandour).
Environment and Development Economics,  v.20 n.6, pp. 697-722, December 2015 [link].
Full Working Paper Version [link]. Valor Econômico Op-ed (22 March 2012). Featured in The Economist and Time Magazine.

Water Scarcity and Birth Outcomes in the Brazilian Semiarid (with Rodrigo R. Soares).
Journal of Development Economics, v.112, pp. 72-91, January 2015 [link].
First version available as IZA DP no. 6773.

Other Key Articles in Refereed Journals

More Doctors, Better Health? Consolidating Evidence from Brazil’s Mais Médicos Program.
Social Science & Medicine, v.364, 117559, January 2025 [link].

Transition Towards Cancer Mortality Predominance over Cardiovascular Disease Mortality in Brazil, 2000-2019: A Population-Based Study (with Rache, Rezende, Medeiros, Okada, Ferrari, Zeng, Bigoni, Curado, Azeredo).
The Lancet Regional Health Americas, v.39, 100904, November 2024 [link].

Improvements in Data Completeness in Health Information Systems Reveal Racial Inequalities: Longitudinal National Data from Hospital Admissions in Brazil 2010–2022 (with R. Coelho and T. Hone).
International Journal for Equity in Health, v.23(143) July 2024 [link].

Progress towards universal health coverage and inequalities in infant mortality: An analysis of 4.1 million births from 60 low- and middle-income countries between 2000-2019 (with Hone, Gonçalves, Seferidi, Moreno-Serra, Gupta, Bhardwaj, Hidayat, Cai, Suhrcke, Millett).
The Lancet Global Health, v.12(5), pages e744-e755, May 2024 [link].

Social Determinants of Health in Brazil during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Strengths and Limitations of Emergency Responses (with Paschoalotto, Lazzari, Massuda and Castro).
Health Affairs Scholar, v.1(issue 1), July 2023 [link].

Health Systems Resilience: Is It Time to Revisit Resilience After COVID-19? (with Paschoalotto, Lazzari, Massuda and Castro).
Social Science & Medicine, v.320, 115716, March 2023 [link].

Evolution and Inequalities in Depression Prevalence and the Treatment Gap in Brazil: A Decomposition Analysis (with Matías Mrejen and Tom Hone).
SSM – Population Health, v.10, 101266, December 2022 [link].

Primary Healthcare Protects Vulnerable Populations from Inequity in COVID-19 Vaccination: An Ecological Analysis of Nationwide Data from Brazil (with Bastos, Aguillar, Rache, Maçaira, Baião, Hamacher, Ranzani and Bozza).
The Lancet Regional Health Americas, v14, 100335, October 2022 [link].

The economic burden of overweight and obesity in Brazil: perspectives for the Brazilian Unified Health System (with Ferrari, Giannichi, Resende, Paiva, Rache, Adami and Rezende).
Public Health, v.207, June 2022 [link].

Winds of Fire and Smoke: Air Pollution and Health in the Brazilian Amazon (with André Sant’Anna).
World Development, v.151 (105722), March 2022 [link].

American Delusion: Life Expectancy and Welfare in the US from an International Perspective (with Rodrigo Soares a Michel Szklo).
Journal of Human Capital, v.16, n.1, pp. 73-132, Spring 2022 [link].

The Quality of Alternative Models of Primary Health Care and Morbidity and Mortality in Brazil: A National Longitudinal Analysis (with Matias Mrejen, Chris Millet and Tom Hone).
The Lancet Regional Health Americas, v.4, 100034, December 2021 [link].

Financing Needs, Spending Projection and the Future of Health in Brazil (with Isabela Furtado and Paula Spinola).
Health Economics, v.30(5), pp. 1082-1094, May 2021 [link].
First version available as IEPS DP no.6. Featured in FSP, Exame and Valor.

Science Misuse and Polarised Political Narratives in the COVID-19 Response (with Tom Hone, Rômulo Paes-Souza, Maurício Barreto and Chris Millet).
The Lancet, v396(10263), P1635-1636, October 2020 [link].

Do Health and Social Protection Expenditures Protect Health During Economic Recession? A Longitudinal Analysis of Adult Mortality in 5565 Brazilian Municipalities (with Hone, Mirelman, Rasella, Paes-Souza, Barreto and Millet).
The Lancet Global Health, v.7 issue 11, pp. PE1575-E1583, November 2019 [link].
Featured in O Globo and Nexo Jornal.

Articles in Brazilian Journals, Books, Book Chapters and Selected Reports

Eletrificação Rural, Eletrodomésticos e Oferta de Trabalho Feminino: Evidência para o Brasil (with Laísa Rachter).
Revista Brasileira de Economia, v.76(1), janeiro-março 2022 [link].

A Saúde do Brasil (with F. Giambiagi and M. Lago). São Paulo: Editora Lux, 2022 [link].

A Saúde na Década de 2020: Navegar é Preciso. In: Giambiagi, F. (ed). O Futuro do Brasil. São Paulo: Editora Atlas, 2021 [link].

A Saúde na Constituição de 1988: 30 Anos de SUS e os Desafios pela Frente. In: Menezes-Filho, N. e A. Souza (eds). A Carta. São Paulo: Editora Todavia, 2019 [link].

Efeitos do FUNDEF/B sobre Frequência Escolar, Fluxo Escolar e Trabalho Infantil: Uma Análise com Base nos Censos de 2000 e 2010 (with Gabriela F. da Cruz).
Estudos Econômicos, v.48(1), pp. 39-75, janeiro/março de 2018 [link].

O Impacto das Unidades de Pronto-Atendimento (UPA 24hs) sobre Indicadores de Mortalidade: Evidências para o Rio de Janeiro (with Lucas Fernandes).
Pesquisa e Planejamento Econômico, v.46(3), dezembro de 2016 [link].

A Reação da Elite Política Incumbente na Abertura Democrática Brasileira (with Raphael Bruce).
Revista de Economia Política, v35, n.3(140), julho/setembro de 2015 [link].

The Brazilian Middle Class and Its Vulnerability to Economic Fluctuations (with Miguel Foguel). Poverty in Focus n.26. IPC-UNDP, 2013 [link].

The Agro-processing Sector: Empirical Overview, Recent Trends and Development Impacts (with John Wilkinson). In: C. Silva, D. Baker, W. Shepherd, S. Miranda-da-Cruz and C. Jenane (eds.) Agro-industries for Development. Oxford: CAB International, 2009.

Pobreza e Desigualdade de Renda no Brasil Rural: Uma Análise da Queda Recente (with Steven Helfand and H. Vinhais).
Pesquisa e Planejamento Econômico, v.39(1), abril de 2009 [link].

Posicionamento Social e a Hipótese da Distribuição de Renda Desconhecida no Brasil: Quão Pobres, Quão Ricos e Quão Desiguais nos Percebemos (with André Urani).
Revista de Economia Política, v.27 n.4(108), outubro/dezembro de 2007 [link].

Diagnóstico das Instituições de Microcrédito no Brasil (with Adriana Fontes and Manuel Thedim). São Paulo: Editora Peirópolis, 2006.

Agro-processing and Developing Countries (with John Wilkinson). Background paper for the World Development Report 2008. Also Available as Agroprocesamiento y Países en Desarrollo, Debates y Temas Rurales n.9, RIMISP, 2006.

Supermarkets and the Artisanal Fisheries Sector in Latin America: Case Studies from Brazil and Peru (with John Wilkinson and Patrícia Fuertes). FAO Globefish Research Programme, v.85. Rome: FAO, 2006.

Social Policy in Brazil: Recent Trends and Selected Items for an Agenda (with José Guilherme Reis). Background Paper for the OECD Economic Surveys: Brazil, v.2005(2). Rio de Janeiro: IETS, 2004.